Election Predictions
I’ve had some time to think about what will happen tomorrow. Here’s my predictions - no one in their right mind can possibly say what is going to happen with the statewide races. How mad are voters and will they take out their frustration on judges by actually going to the polls to vote in the retention - it’s anybody’s guess. I’ll say this much, PACleanSweep has done a good job of pushing their message. It wouldn’t surprise me if Justice Saylor gets voted down, and a few other judges do not make the retention vote, but it also wouldn’t surprise me if they did win retention. Alot will depend on turnout - in this case - how many angry voters from the T get out to vote versus voters in the Pittsburgh and Philly areas. The advantage here goes to the T voters for one reason only - the Philly and Pittsburgh mayoral races seem to be blowouts, so the logic is why go to vote?
On the local level here in Cumberland County, I would guess that there will not be a whole lot of change. Commissoner’s Barclay, Eichelberger and Rovegno will most likely be re-elected - it’s just a matter of what order they come in. The commissioners’ race was unusually quiet this fall. Here in Carlisle, we have four Borough Council seats, with nine candidates running - 4 D’s, 4 R’s, and 1 Green. It looks like Frank Rankin and Doc Kronenberg will easily get re-elected. That means there is a three man race for two other seats. The three that have a shot for two of these seats are Democrat Sean Shultz, Republicans Don Grell and Ken Gossert. I’ll make a prediction here and say that Sean Shultz comes in third, followed by Don Grell. Ken Gossert has a history of getting through the primary, but not being able to win in the general election. Sean Shultz has run a good campaign doing lots of door-to-door and created a great organization of volunteers to help him. He lost by 15 votes two years ago and I’d say he has more than made up for that loss this time.